This alert expired on 6 July 2026 at 19:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 5th strongest of the 117 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 25 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 6 at 2:50PM EDT until July 6 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
An estimated 25,695,726 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- July 4, 2026 · score 52 · 5.6 km
- August 27, 2026 · score 52 · 5.8 km
- July 6, 2026 · score 52 · 6.8 km
How we know
Confirmed by 15 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 89% |
| Coordinates | 40.4505, -73.7960 |
| Nearest City | Far Rockaway (18 km) |
| Population Exposed | 25.7M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-06T18:50:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Kings, NY; Nassau, NY; Queens, NY; Suffolk, NY; Monmouth, NJ; Ocean, NJ and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 6 at 2:50PM EDT until July 6 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-06T15:00:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1eed81713aac94465a8a91f5c4c0aa08ecdb0489.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe926c1fbe3bcc84f7b81b07c975b6aeeaa04e47.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cd85d317338e30f9362a6a6c6ae2ba1bac5fde89.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d688409f25a569d24e27caffa188526e5c7213d.001.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | F |
| Iem City | 1 SE Ocean Twp. |
| Iem County | Monmouth |
| Iem State | NJ |
| Iem Wfo | PHI |
| Iem Remark | Video sent in of cars stuck in high water on Route 35 in Ocean Township. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_F_40.170_-74.070_1783353900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353900000,"latitude":40.17,"longitude":-74.07},{"id":"iem_F_40.210_-74.050_1783353600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353600000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-74.05},{"id":"iem_F_40.730_-73.460_1783356720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783356720000,"latitude":40.73,"longitude":-73.46},{"id":"iem_F_40.210_-74.040_1783354500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783354500000,"latitude":40.21,"longitude":-74.04},{"id":"iem_F_40.250_-73.990_1783353000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353000000,"latitude":40.25,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_F_40.580_-73.990_1783358100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783358100000,"latitude":40.58,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_F_40.300_-74.060_1783353000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353000000,"latitude":40.3,"longitude":-74.06},{"id":"iem_F_40.250_-74.000_1783351440000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783351440000,"latitude":40.25,"longitude":-74},{"id":"iem_F_40.580_-73.990_1783353600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353600000,"latitude":40.58,"longitude":-73.99},{"id":"iem_F_40.090_-74.220_1783357500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783357500000,"latitude":40.09,"longitude":-74.22},{"id":"iem_F_40.740_-73.420_1783361100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783361100000,"latitude":40.74,"longitude":-73.42},{"id":"iem_F_40.330_-73.980_1783353300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353300000,"latitude":40.33,"longitude":-73.98},{"id":"iem_F_40.250_-74.040_1783353840000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783353840000,"latitude":40.25,"longitude":-74.04},{"id":"iem_F_40.240_-74.040_1783354500000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783354500000,"latitude":40.24,"longitude":-74.04}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 52/100, near Far Rockaway (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.